Who will blink first?
The lead in this season's Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup has changed for the third time. Now it's Jimmie Johnson's turn again to head the standings, by seven points over Matt Kenseth.
That's hardly breathing room. In fact, Johnson forfeited an identical margin a year ago – the victim of suspension damage and a 32nd-place finish at Phoenix International Raceway – and lost the title to Brad Keselowski.
Johnson, however, was the two-races-to-go leader from 2006-09 – and went on to capture the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series title in all four seasons.
Statistically, Phoenix's AdvoCare 500 hardly looks like a fair fight between the two. Johnson has four wins to Kenseth's one and finished second to his rival's seventh when the series visited the one-mile oval in March. Johnson's average finish in the Valley of the Sun is 6.5 vs. Kenseth's 17.2.